# Identifying the Variables and Writing a Hypothesis

Description

must not understand the assignment at all I though it say that its base off my last paper the one about Strategic Intelligence In a Unipolar World is that not the question I’m lost in the answer can you help with the understandingAfter reading the week’s Lesson materials, you will develop a working hypothesis, building on the research topic you have chosen. the topic is strategic intelligence In a Unipolar World how does this work with this topic .Assignment topic

Assignment: Identifying the Variables and Writing a Hypothesis

After reading the week’s Lesson materials, you will develop a working hypothesis, building on the research topic you have chosen. Remember that once you have identified a research question, you will propose some plausible explanation (answer to the question), which may turn out to be true or not. The point of this exercise is to identify some independent variables that lead to a dependent variable, which lead you to put a hypothesis into words.

You’ll need to put some background information in the assignment to show me how you derived your preliminary hypothesis.

The purpose for identifying a working hypothesis is to develop an assumption based on your preliminary research and then identify the variables that you will analyze to produce an empirical analysis. Some times there are two competing hypotheses and the key is to discover which answer is more correct through your research.

For example, if my research question was: What are the conditions that lead to the proliferation of demonstrations in Arab countries? and my preliminary research indicated that there was high unemployment among the young, discontent with the political process, poverty, I would diagram my variables like this:

IV + IV + IV = DV

Unemployment + discontent + poverty = popular demonstrations

From there, I might develop a simple hypothesis:

High rates of unemployment among the young, discontent with the political process, and poverty common to many of the Arab Spring nations contributed to widespread unrest and demonstrations.

However, a person could come up with another explanation for the same dependent variable: popular demonstrations.

IV + IV + IV = DV

Political Repression + Censorship + Extremist Agitation = Popular Demonstrations

For this assignment you are to develop one working hypothesis or, if more applicable for your topic, two alternative explanations for the same observed or predicted phenomenon. If the alternative explanations (hypotheses) are mutually exclusive of each other, only one of the explanations can be correct. You should provide a short review of the sources that pertain to your topic to enable the reader to see how you arrived at this working hypothesis.

Later in this class you will continue with your hypothesis as the basis of what will become the paper you deliver in the final week. In the weeks ahead, I will step you through the various steps to create that paper. For now, though, focus on the explanation (hypothesis development) for your research question.

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